To be successful in greyhound wagering you must have a chest full of 'tools' to help you be successful. A few items on this list should be:
1. Proper Bankroll
2. Ability to find power keys
3. Ability to find Value keys
There are many more. Today I will discuss Value keys. In my daily grind as a professional handicapper I rely on POWER KEYS for more than half of my wagering profits. These keys win a high percentage of the time but are usually chalk (betting favorites). I leverage my ability to spot them and play them with a mathematically advantaged wager structure. In short, I hit the exotic wagers with less combinations bet than the average person playing the race. Their wasted wagers/combinations wind up in my pocket as profits.
Value keys come from several different insights. The easiest to spot is the 'close' greyhound. Let's assume you have a race with a really strong greyhound. When you compare this greyhound to the others in the race you see that there is one or two others that are very close in speed and ability. Now the obvious greyhound may go off at 2/1 odds or less, but these other 'close' contenders may go off and 5/1, 9/1 or even higher. If you can learn to spot these races and track them you will find that the obvious greyhound doesn't really win at a significantly higher rate than the others that are close. But you are getting a lot higher odds on the close contenders. So what is your strategy here?
I would say you dump the chalk and play the VALUE hounds in that race. You may find when the chalk key wins the trifecta may only pay $50 or $100. But when the CLOSE contenders with it could pay $500 or higher. This is especially true when the obvious chalk missed the board (which happens often!) So you should always have a combination or two played that takes into account the chalk greyhound not even making the money.
Be smart and you will see that CLOSE counts in horseshoes AND greyhound racing!
I train the most talented and profitable group of greyhound players anywhere. We would love to have you join us. For about the cost of one good wager a month you can be a member too. Even better you will move from being a losing player to being a profitable player. I have a couple of slots open right now which is rare and won't last long. I cap my membership at 35 players.
www.greyhoundtracktips.com
About the author
- Pup
- I am a professional gambler. My income is derived from several forms of gambling, primarily greyhound racing. I offer greyhound tips and greyhound handicapping training.
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Sunday, October 9, 2011
Using Quickdog handicapping software - backtesting
At my website I teach people how to use Quickdog software as a tool to win. In my opinion NO software can pick winners for you and make you profitable. But Quickdog can put all of the tools, information and stats you need at your fingertips to help you handicap to win! On my site I teach players every aspect of winning. Handicapping, playing trifecta's, wager structuring, bankroll management, how to know what races to play and what races to pass. It is a 100% comprehensive university for greyhound players. But many people ask me about the basics of quickdog. I try to provide as much free assistance to players each year as I can. Below is a link to a 20 minute video on some of the features of quickdog. It is Part 1 of a 3 part series on backtesting. I hope you enjoy it.
http://greyhoundtracktips.com/backtesting01/
http://greyhoundtracktips.com/backtesting01/
Monday, October 3, 2011
Greyhound wagering is as easy as you make it
In nearly 10 years of working with people and helping them become profitable playing greyhounds I have learned one thing: Everyone has something that they do pretty well. The only players this doesn't apply to is someone who just started playing greyhounds this week. If you have been trying for several months or years then YOU have something that you do pretty well.
The easiest way to start making money right now (or at least start limiting your losses) is to evaluate what you do well and then do more of it!
The first step in this process is to keep records. Every race that you play (or play on paper) you need a record of your picks, your wagers, your wins and losses, what grade the race was and the distance of the race. In the old days keeping records was a nightmare. With computers and spreadsheets so readily available now and so easy to learn, there is no excuse for not keeping records.
Maybe you see you can pick the winner a high percentage of the time in Grade A. Or you hit the exacta in grade A a high percentage of the time. It could be that you are really doing well in maiden races. Look at everything from every angle and put your money where you have the best chance of winning!
If you see that you are losing 95% on Grade C races at 660 yards....DONT PLAY THEM ANYMORE. You can keep playing them on paper and figure out how to make money. But don't bet another real dollar until you figure it out. Take the money you would be betting on these races you have no record of being profitable in and add it to your wagers on the races you are doing well at.
Being profitable is hard but it isn't difficult. Using some good ole common sense is your best bet.
I teach people how to play profitably. You will learn more than you ever have before when you become one of my members. www.greyhoundtracktips.com
Stop Losing. Start winning. Let me help you.
The easiest way to start making money right now (or at least start limiting your losses) is to evaluate what you do well and then do more of it!
The first step in this process is to keep records. Every race that you play (or play on paper) you need a record of your picks, your wagers, your wins and losses, what grade the race was and the distance of the race. In the old days keeping records was a nightmare. With computers and spreadsheets so readily available now and so easy to learn, there is no excuse for not keeping records.
Maybe you see you can pick the winner a high percentage of the time in Grade A. Or you hit the exacta in grade A a high percentage of the time. It could be that you are really doing well in maiden races. Look at everything from every angle and put your money where you have the best chance of winning!
If you see that you are losing 95% on Grade C races at 660 yards....DONT PLAY THEM ANYMORE. You can keep playing them on paper and figure out how to make money. But don't bet another real dollar until you figure it out. Take the money you would be betting on these races you have no record of being profitable in and add it to your wagers on the races you are doing well at.
Being profitable is hard but it isn't difficult. Using some good ole common sense is your best bet.
I teach people how to play profitably. You will learn more than you ever have before when you become one of my members. www.greyhoundtracktips.com
Stop Losing. Start winning. Let me help you.
Thursday, September 22, 2011
What is more important. Handicapping or wagering?
This may be the easiest question I have ever answered about playing the greyhounds. Wagering is by far the most important thing that will affect your profit and ROI.
If I were in a contest that required me to place wagers on handicappers and who would do best over time, I would bet all my money on the modest handicapper with outstanding wagering skills over the worlds best handicapper with poor wagering skills. How important is wagering? I'll give you a real life example from today. I had a member of my pro greyhound training site , www.greyhoundtracktips.com , ask me about races to play today. I told him I would give him my best race of the day but he should apply the things he had learned so far to play it the best he could. At the end of the day we would compare notes on how he played it, how I played it and make adjustments to his process as needed.
The race was Palm Beach Matinee Race 3 (todays date 9/22/11)
We just talked a few minutes ago and here is how he played the race:
$3 1/8/A
$3 1/A/8
$5 exacta 1/28
He hit the race. His total wager cost $46 (in our first conversation based on his bankroll I advised him to shoot for an investment of around $50 on the race). His return was $100.10 for a profit of $54.10
Now that is very respectable. He made OVER 100% ROI on this race. In our discussion I first congratulated him on picking it right and getting a very respectable return on his wager. And then I shared my wager.
The reason I thought writing about this today is because we had the exact same dogs narrowed down for our play. So his picks were exactly like mine. The only difference was how we wagered it. Here is my wager
$3 1/28/28
$2 1/A/28
$10 Exacta 1/28
My total wager was $50 exactly. My return was $180.50 for a $130.50 profit. For the same investment I made nearly triple the profit and ROI for my wager.
Now I'm not saying I would always wager better than him on an individual race. There would be some races I might actually miss or only hit small on a single line of wagering that he would get paid and I wouldn't or get very little. But what I did do, and what I always try to do is MAXIMIZE my return when I am RIGHT!
If I could ask you one question that might help improve your returns it would be this. Do you ever make a straight trifecta wager? If not you should. You need to handicap the race the best you can and then make a wager that reflects you being right. Why? A straight tri is only $2. And you won't be exactly right a lot of the time. But when you are right, your ROI on that single line will be massive compared to your $12 line where you hit it for a $1 payoff. So spread your wagers and make sure at least ONE of your wagers will reward you when you are EXACTLY right!
This is how pro's maximize profits. Thats what we teach and live at www.greyhoundtracktips.com
We'd love to have you join the ONLY online training university for greyhound players.
If I were in a contest that required me to place wagers on handicappers and who would do best over time, I would bet all my money on the modest handicapper with outstanding wagering skills over the worlds best handicapper with poor wagering skills. How important is wagering? I'll give you a real life example from today. I had a member of my pro greyhound training site , www.greyhoundtracktips.com , ask me about races to play today. I told him I would give him my best race of the day but he should apply the things he had learned so far to play it the best he could. At the end of the day we would compare notes on how he played it, how I played it and make adjustments to his process as needed.
The race was Palm Beach Matinee Race 3 (todays date 9/22/11)
We just talked a few minutes ago and here is how he played the race:
$3 1/8/A
$3 1/A/8
$5 exacta 1/28
He hit the race. His total wager cost $46 (in our first conversation based on his bankroll I advised him to shoot for an investment of around $50 on the race). His return was $100.10 for a profit of $54.10
Now that is very respectable. He made OVER 100% ROI on this race. In our discussion I first congratulated him on picking it right and getting a very respectable return on his wager. And then I shared my wager.
The reason I thought writing about this today is because we had the exact same dogs narrowed down for our play. So his picks were exactly like mine. The only difference was how we wagered it. Here is my wager
$3 1/28/28
$2 1/A/28
$10 Exacta 1/28
My total wager was $50 exactly. My return was $180.50 for a $130.50 profit. For the same investment I made nearly triple the profit and ROI for my wager.
Now I'm not saying I would always wager better than him on an individual race. There would be some races I might actually miss or only hit small on a single line of wagering that he would get paid and I wouldn't or get very little. But what I did do, and what I always try to do is MAXIMIZE my return when I am RIGHT!
If I could ask you one question that might help improve your returns it would be this. Do you ever make a straight trifecta wager? If not you should. You need to handicap the race the best you can and then make a wager that reflects you being right. Why? A straight tri is only $2. And you won't be exactly right a lot of the time. But when you are right, your ROI on that single line will be massive compared to your $12 line where you hit it for a $1 payoff. So spread your wagers and make sure at least ONE of your wagers will reward you when you are EXACTLY right!
This is how pro's maximize profits. Thats what we teach and live at www.greyhoundtracktips.com
We'd love to have you join the ONLY online training university for greyhound players.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Chalk in greyhound handicapping. Another greyhound track tip
It is Saturday morning as I write this. I am preparing for a great day of matinee and evening performances to play and win! I just visited the members forum at my online greyhound players training site. This is where I teach people how to win. They win by watching me, a professional player, in over 50 hours of streaming video.
Member 401 posted
"Prior to the U (He means Pup U, as my members have dubbed it) I would have been one of the guys arguing with you about playing the chalk, but no more. Also love the at a glance style of your methods. Looking forward to the next installment. Some live capping with this method would be great. It's been a while and these are always my favorite videos. Thanks and keep winning"
Playing so called "chalk" correctly is one of the most profiable, low variance ways of playing. I have several arsenals I use at the track. But find REAL sold chalk key dogs is my bread and butter.
So what would be my best tip for playing chalk? It's real simple. You have to identify the REAL chalk and stay away from false favorites. Every race will have a favorite. In most races these favorites will be bet down to less than 2/1. At less than 2/1 make sure you have a dog and really and truely dominates the rest of the field. This key dog can't be slightly better. He/She must be better by an overwhelming margin.
Come learn how to win with us. In the quote from one of my members above, he asked about live handicapping video. These are my most popular videos on the site. My members get to watch me actually handicap and play races. It is an invaluable tool. It can be what gets you to the next level!
www.greyhoundtracktips.com
Member 401 posted
"Prior to the U (He means Pup U, as my members have dubbed it) I would have been one of the guys arguing with you about playing the chalk, but no more. Also love the at a glance style of your methods. Looking forward to the next installment. Some live capping with this method would be great. It's been a while and these are always my favorite videos. Thanks and keep winning"
Playing so called "chalk" correctly is one of the most profiable, low variance ways of playing. I have several arsenals I use at the track. But find REAL sold chalk key dogs is my bread and butter.
So what would be my best tip for playing chalk? It's real simple. You have to identify the REAL chalk and stay away from false favorites. Every race will have a favorite. In most races these favorites will be bet down to less than 2/1. At less than 2/1 make sure you have a dog and really and truely dominates the rest of the field. This key dog can't be slightly better. He/She must be better by an overwhelming margin.
Come learn how to win with us. In the quote from one of my members above, he asked about live handicapping video. These are my most popular videos on the site. My members get to watch me actually handicap and play races. It is an invaluable tool. It can be what gets you to the next level!
www.greyhoundtracktips.com
Thursday, August 11, 2011
Why YOU need to play greyhounds the way I do
I have a lot of answers. Over 50 hours of video training where you can play along side me and see what I do. The member forum where the best players in the country talk strategy, help each other and learn together. Access to me on the forum, via email and more!
But the main reason is this: I know how to win. I can teach you how to win. Above is a screenshot of my online wagering account for the past day. (you can click the picture to enlarge it)
I play big and I win big. I know what I'm doing. And you get access to that knowledge and information. I only have 2 slots remaining. I cap membership at 35 players. You can be one of those 35. www.greyhoundtracktips.com
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)